Boris Schlossberg

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Last quote by Boris Schlossberg

We've been above 50 for quite a long time. But the critical question here is whether we are going to grow from the last month or are we are going to contract; that is what the market is going to be watching very carefully.feedback
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Aug 02 2017
Boris Schlossberg has been quoted 147 times. The one recent article where Boris Schlossberg has been quoted is The currency market may be sending a warning to stock market investors. Most recently, Boris Schlossberg was quoted as having said, “The classic interpretation is that a lower dollar is positive for U.S. multinationals because they source everything in dollars and sell it in euros and all the other currencies. But something else is going on in the currency market that really perked up my ears.”.
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Boris Schlossberg quotes

Jun 07 2017 - French election 2017

The euro has been on a tear lately. Partly because Emmanuel Macron won in France, but also because the market is speculating that the European Central Bank is going to taper the quantitative easing that's been in place for several years.feedback

Jun 07 2017 - Trump Presidency

This could present a tremendous political risk to the market if he does release indeed some kind of a bombshell about the Trump presidency.feedback

Jun 07 2017

On Thursday we have a tremendous amount of political risk in the market. If that indeed translates into a big breakout for gold above the $1,300-an-ounce level, it could mean potentially a long-term rally in the yellow metal.feedback

Jun 02 2017

I think everybody is going to be very surprised. What we have here is essentially a consensus view that Prime Minister May was going to run away with this election.feedback

May 25 2017

Typically, when you have that kind of concentration of positive days, mean reversion is about to kick in. So I think it could be a situation where 'sell in May' could be the best prescription for the Nasdaq. There's no doubt that, fundamentally, all the tech companies have certainly come to the forefront. They are now the dominant companies in American industry – but that story has been really well told. I think profit-taking is due here, and I would be very cautious at trying to get long here at these levels.feedback

May 24 2017 - Bitcoin

I'm going to be watching that very carefully to see how it trades over the next day or two. As a matter of fact, it's one of those retailers that is actually expanding its store base, and I'm going to be watching not only their earnings to see how well they've done this quarter, but to see if they're really going to increase their store base over the next coming quarters.feedback

May 24 2017 - Bitcoin

It's going to be very interesting to see if they're going to be able to issue a statement that will curtail production and make sure that oil remains above that $50 a barrel level as we go forward.feedback

May 22 2017 - Trump-Merkel

It definitely lit a fuse under the euro today. At this point...they can afford to have a little bit of a stronger euro. I think she's just playing politics with Trump, and saying we're doing our part. I think she's just giving it lip service. The last thing she wants is a strong euro. She realizes the euro needs to be around these levels for a long time for the European economy to heal.feedback

May 22 2017 - Trump-Merkel

I think Merkel's just trying to defend or anticipate the criticism.feedback

May 18 2017

It's clearly signaling more demand. So I like that as a hedge play going forward.feedback

May 18 2017

This was a political trade on the way up, and I think it's going to be a political trade on the way down. So I don't think the story is over.feedback

May 17 2017 - Coal mining

It's critical, because if the number is significantly worse than the market expects, that could be a canary in the coal mine showing the manufacturing growth that we've seen so far is starting to slow.feedback

May 17 2017

If that level is breached, that could be a signal of much bigger and greater risk aversion flows that could spill over into the equity market.feedback

May 17 2017 - Trump Presidency

Why such a muted reaction in all the markets against the news today? And perhaps it's not because the market thinks there's a constitutional crisis but it already assumes impeachment. On balance, we've got a market that seems impervious to what's going on in Washington. I think the market's keying on Washington's ability to push tax reform.feedback

May 16 2017 - Trump Presidency

It seems like progressively every single day it gets more and more beyond any sense of normal leadership and ultimately that kind of political volatility does translate into economic volatility.feedback

May 11 2017 - Trump Presidency

It's kind of like when retail companies stop talking about the weather – it suggests that maybe they're just simply focusing on the nuts and bolts of their businesses.feedback

May 11 2017 - Nordstrom vs. Trump

If we have another month of negative inflation data, that's going to make the assumptions of three rate hikes very problematic. Volatility is supposed to be mean-reverting, and if that's the case, we may be in serious trouble.feedback

May 11 2017 - Nordstrom vs. Trump

If the VIX starts to go really high, that means equities are going to be in trouble.feedback

May 04 2017

It seems like everybody is just ignoring the very tepid, very, very lackluster economic data.feedback

May 04 2017

It's not a good sign to be the biggest in the S&P. It means you've pretty much reached your apex as far as growth potential.feedback

Apr 27 2017

If we don't get any delivery by summertime, I think you're going to see a massive disappointment and a move back because the underlying economy is nowhere near the level the market is; the underlying economy is just chugging along at a subpar pace and you really need that whole push from the administration to make the market go up. If he doesn't get anything done, I think you're going to see a massive sell-off.feedback

Apr 21 2017 - Front National

Any kind of serious contention that Le Pen wins or, the worst-case scenario, if we have Melenchon and Le Pen – the far right, far left – the only choice for France, could take the euro down to parity very quickly. The key question is can they really hold it together at this point. Can the union come together and create a more viable economic society for the rest of the European Union at this point. It's not so much even that [Le Pen] may win, it's a question of how big that whole populist vote is and how much discontent there is in the euro zone.feedback

Apr 20 2017 - Trump Presidency

All economic data is irrelevant. If [the Trump administration] can't get those two things done in the summertime, then I think a huge part of the 'Trump rally' just simply dies on the vine.feedback

Apr 13 2017

I think that's a very, very serious sign suggesting that risk-off is really starting to permeate through the markets because in my opinion, yen always leads the markets in terms of risk-off sentiment. We've had a big disconnect between what the currencies have been saying and what the equities have been saying, and I think now we're reaching a breaking point where the currencies are really signaling that equities need to come in and correct.feedback

Apr 13 2017 - Trump administration

As a flight to safety into U.S. Treasurys comes in and yields continue to compress, gold becomes a lot more attractive. I do think with the Trump administration and with the militarization that's going on right now, the risk is very high, so gold does have the chance to go further.feedback

Apr 06 2017

Across the whole Western world, the economies are doing OK, but we're just not seeing that translate into more income for individual people. And that's why final demand is very tepid.feedback

Mar 31 2017

We're not seeing great sentiment one way or another, but bursts of enthusiasm this morning definitely got squelched by the comments and economic data. A lot of the air went out of the balloon today because we didn't get quite the positive data set that we wanted and we're still getting relatively cautious commentary from the Fed.feedback

Mar 29 2017 - Bull market

We've had a massive move in equities over the last couple of months without any type of a correction. And the stall in commodities suggests to me that there's probably going to be a correction in equities. It's not necessarily the end of the bull market, but a 5, 10 percent move to the downside, which is being presaged by the fact that all of these commodities are really not moving up, is a very, very interesting possibility.feedback

Mar 20 2017

Dollar bulls are stuck in a quagmire. The dollar's in this sort of no man's land. If the price action is not confirming the fundamentals, you always trust the price action, because there's something bigger the market is seeing that everyone else is missing.feedback

Mar 09 2017 - Bear market

I think gold is in a secular bear market, and it's a sell-the-rally trap.feedback

Mar 09 2017

I think the Fed is on a path to hike rates three times this year. They've been very, very consistent about that. And if that's the path, gold goes down.feedback

Mar 09 2017

I've got to bet at this point she's not going to win. I think there's a huge amount of fear that's already been priced into the trade. And I like the European stocks even more than I like the euro itself. The euro has, maybe, perhaps other factors behind it. I would be much more favorable towards going long European stocks. That could put the whole European experiment very much under risk.feedback

Mar 09 2017

The fact that they have high dividends and high valuation puts them in the danger zone for me.feedback

Mar 01 2017 - Trump-Putin

Ironically enough, I actually think that all of this focus on the Trump-Putin ties makes it far less likely simply to have a thaw in ties, and therefore the sanctions and all the other political ramifications that surround Russia really put a huge question mark as to whether the rally can continue.feedback

Mar 01 2017

They're getting decimated by tech, and today's announcement from Target was to me especially disappointing because Target is basically hanging all of their strategy on price competition, and going down-market on lower price, and I think that's going to destroy them because Amazon will kill them on lower price anytime, anywhere. In fact, I think the only thing that works in retail right now is improving experience; ironically enough maybe taking a page from Amazon to create an experience where you never see a cashier, where it's just friction-free shopping.feedback

Feb 19 2017 - Federal Reserve

The market is not buying what Janet Yellen is saying. And that is actually a very, very telling sign. When the Fed chief says, pretty much unabashedly, that she's going to go to three rate hikes, and she sort of talks up the economy, and yet the market remains skeptical, that's telling me something. That tells me that both markets remain skeptical about the continuity of this potential growth as we go forward.feedback

Feb 17 2017

It's definitely top heavy. I'm of two minds of tech.feedback

Feb 09 2017 - Protectionism

None of those policy initiatives have been enacted; it's been much more toward protectionism and toward anti-terrorism. And the market, I think, is losing patience, and that is why you're seeing the whole Trump portfolio basket trade move off. Now, if he reasserts his economic policy and if he comes back to those ideas quickly, those trades are going to come right back. But if he again wallows in much more political issues as we go forward, I think you're going to see much more of a correction than you currently have seen.feedback

Feb 09 2017 - OPEC

I think oil is in a very dangerous zone now precisely because demand is not there. The irony of this whole thing is that OPEC cuts are holding, but the demand is not there. And the longer oil wallows at this $52 level, the more likely it's actually going to go to the downside. And if it trips to $50 a barrel stops, I think it could really tumble very quickly. So I think we're in a perilous territory.feedback

Feb 06 2017

A break of 112.00 yen to the downside in dollar/yen...would signal a more significant correction of the dollar rally, indicating that the greenback is no longer a sure way bet to rise this year.feedback

Feb 01 2017

The problem is that if you engage in protectionist policies, it's very likely going to raise prices for the American consumer.feedback

Feb 01 2017

Yes, Amazon is doing a lot of volume for them, but the rest of the economy may not be producing as much as everybody thinks. And that could be a tell that growth going forward – the expectations for growth going forward – need to be tempered, and that could be an interesting early warning sign for investors. Right now I'm taking the warning sign seriously.feedback

Jan 26 2017

I think he's serious about spending. He's not a guy who does not like to spend, if you know anything about Donald Trump, so he's going to try to make all sorts of spending on infrastructure, it's a real possibility … that's, I think, a cornerstone of his platform. He really believes it. So one of the more interesting trades here is actually on the other side of the border.feedback

Jan 26 2017

I think that the trade is, buy near-term, but sell intermediate term, because it's definitely going to run out of juice going forward.feedback

Jan 23 2017

Markets have clearly been taken aback by his confrontational style of politics and unless the U.S. economy shows some rapid improvements in growth, the enthusiasm that accompanied Mr. Trump into the office will quickly turn into fear as investors begin to consider the costs of his protectionist policies and bare knuckles style of governing.feedback

Jan 20 2017

There's definitely some sort of a storm coming. I don't know if it's going to be mild, or more severe, but it's almost impossible for me to believe that we're just going to have this very, very calm, pretty natural calm for much longer. Something's going to trip the markets and they're going to get corrected.feedback

Jan 20 2017

I think it's a long-term good hold at this point, so you have to scale and buy as you go.feedback

Jan 11 2017 - NAFTA

You may see the dollar reverse quite a lot if the press conference disappoints. Right now the market is pricing in a lot of positives.feedback

Jan 11 2017

If he gets quagmired in politics, I think a lot of the Trump trade is going to unwind very quickly. If, however, his laser focus is on economic reform, these Trump trades are going to pick up steam once again. So it's very much going to be up to him as to whether the Trump trade continues or not over the next month or two.feedback

Jan 10 2017

I think the only number that really matters is the 3 percent number, but it's the 3 percent of wage growth. If we see wage growth of 3 percent or better this year, then all other numbers are going to come in line.feedback

Jan 05 2017

I would be much more likely to want to buy the pullback than try to chase this rally. I think there's very, very limited upside here in this rally.feedback

Jan 05 2017

I would definitely be buying the pullbacks, because I think it's certainly, definitely bottomed out, but I don't see too much potential to the upside.feedback

Dec 28 2016

The market is betting on a very broad-based increase in growth and if his policy mix actually ends up in a lumpy distribution of growth, it's not going to be positive. It's difficult to predict because you don't know what Trump will do. He is very unpredictable. He's inheriting a very strong economy, and he's got a lot of wind at his back. It's just a question of how he's going to manage it.feedback

Dec 15 2016

This is the only economic number you should be watching for the next three months. If wage growth isn't there, the Fed stays still. Mark my words.feedback

Dec 15 2016

I think it was actually surprising to see [Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen's] rhetoric, which was much more hawkish than the reality on the Street. And the reason why is because the only factor that matters ... is wage growth.feedback

Dec 15 2016

And wage growth is still not there, retail spending is still not there. Now, [if] those two things start to go up, then yes, we're all on board for further rate hikes. But if we don't see that improving, I think we're dead and done.feedback

Dec 13 2016

There's going to be so many people who are just going to want to make sure to mark up inventory before the year-end to make sure they are participating in this rally.feedback

Dec 13 2016

I think [Johnson] has a chance to eke over the line, and the reason why is I think the Fed is going to be a lot more dovish than the market thinks, and that's going to give that extra fuel to the market.feedback

Dec 13 2016

They don't want to see this 'melt up' in rates so far so fast and this massive move in the dollar, as well, because it is going to start to impact profits in [the first quarter] if the story just continues unabated.feedback

Dec 07 2016

It's at this point the kind of situation where we are so used to every single day being a drama day that in fact, it actually makes the drama much less potent at this point. So I think unless the Chinese do come back at us, at this point I think things are relatively OK; nobody is taking it too seriously, and that's really what the market is communicating.feedback

Dec 07 2016

I think it's a relatively correct level of fear because the macro backdrop is actually very, very favorable. Economically, everything seems to be in expansionary mode.feedback

Dec 07 2016

The market has gotten way ahead of itself. And I think it's going to be the Fed that is going to put the brakes on this whole notion.feedback

Dec 02 2016

It probably very much will – but the bottom-line question is, Is there so much demand for oil to let's say, go to $60, $70 a barrel?' And I think that's very dubious. He said global gasoline demand has peaked and is heading downward.feedback

Dec 02 2016

So I think the whole energy complex is going to be facing more problems than the market admits, and that's why I'm a little bit cautious on the whole sector.feedback

Nov 28 2016 - American politics

The blatant lie without any proof - and one that has been roundly challenged by all of the country's voting experts - was unprecedented in American politics and may have made some market traders doubt Mr. Trump's stability.feedback

Nov 23 2016

It's just all positive U.S data creating a huge amount of stop running in the currency market. it took out a very big level in dollar/yen.feedback

Nov 15 2016

That means there is a seminal tectonic massive shift here, and I think the banks are going to be a 'buy-the-dip' buy for quite a long time.feedback

Nov 15 2016

Also, whenever somebody says to me something is at a 30-year overbought condition, my first instinct is not to fade the move, but actually buy the dip because that means we are in a breakout territory.feedback

Nov 15 2016

We've been talking ad infinitum about the fact of the steepening yield curve, and now we're starting to see that happen.feedback

Nov 10 2016

It's a risk trade, it's an infrastructure trade, and if President-elect Trump goes through with this infrastructure proposals, you're going to see copper go even higher.feedback

Nov 09 2016

[Trump] couldn't care less about profit. He only cares about sales at this point. If he goes across the aisle and works with Bernie Sanders, his approval rating is going to go into the 80s.feedback

Nov 09 2016

I think bonds die. Dollar rallies. Stocks rally. Trump is the master destroyer of credit, and I have to think you have to bet on that.feedback

Nov 08 2016

There's just three scenarios. If Clinton wins, a huge part of it is getting priced in. It's the anticlimactic trade. That's the conventional scenario – or Trump wins, or we have a contested election.feedback

Nov 08 2016

A contestable election with no clear outcome that could (create a) quagmire the markets for months-worth of uncertainty. The dollar gets very badly hurt, but more importantly it becomes a very volatile market driven by every possible headline. I think it creates destruction in both assets and investor psychology.feedback

Nov 08 2016

Scenario two is Trump wins. All bets are off. Dollar/Swiss sells off. Dollar/yen goes down to 100. Both the Swiss National Bank and Prime Minister Abe's spokesman said they would be watching the markets carefully. Both of them understand there could be a rush out of the dollar if Trump wins.feedback

Nov 08 2016

If they call Florida and Michigan for her, the dollar's going to have an uninterrupted rally. But if there's no call for Michigan and no calls for Florida by 10 p.m., we're going to have a volatile night.feedback

Nov 08 2016

Around 11:15 a.m. the whole pro-Clinton trade in FX started to move in concert - Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, Japanese yen all went to session highs or session lows - and that's mainly because Votecastr released projections that Florida was trending (Clinton's) way, which is really the only thing that matters.feedback

Nov 08 2016

Even though Votecastr is projecting Pennsylvania going early to (Trump) it wouldn't matter. Florida has always been the main pivot in this election and the fact that she's trending strongly so far is really what it all comes down to.feedback

Nov 08 2016

Dollar/peso will be the absolute proxy for the election, and if we see massive moves in dollar/peso by around 8 o'clock in the evening, it will mean the exit polls are strongly indicating she has a wrap on it.feedback

Nov 01 2016

I think you're probably going to see much better performance out of Europe than you will out of the U.S., primarily because of the stronger dollar.feedback

Oct 25 2016

Maybe companies are simply seeing the last possible time where they can have cheap financing going forward.feedback

Oct 25 2016 - Artificial Intelligence

I think it's interesting that [Alphabet] could become just as much of a hardware company as it is a software company, if they can succeed in this whole new arena of artificial intelligence.feedback

Oct 25 2016 - Chipotle

I think it's a good buy; you know, one of the best ways to make money in the market is to buy great companies when they stumble, and it appears that Chipotle has gotten a handle on all of its health problems, and now, at this point, really seems to be seeing a resurgence.feedback

Oct 21 2016

I think gold will be one of the most active, reactionary instruments to a Trump win, because that will create a massive amount of volatility, a massive amount of uncertainty in global markets and in geopolitical terms.feedback

Oct 21 2016

So there are clearly some warning signs out there that I think something is slowing down, whether it just simply pauses and refreshes, or really we're going to start to fall off a cliff; I think is too early to tell.feedback

Oct 21 2016

When you think of it from a global macro perspective, we are starting to see some serious cracks in global growth.feedback

Oct 12 2016

This is really a lottery ticket trade. You don't know which of them could bounce.feedback

Oct 12 2016

The problem with that idea is that you just don't know which one of them will begin to go back up on a trajectory.feedback

Oct 07 2016

In electronic markets, human traders always forget just how much magnitude and speed happens when computers are involved, and we always underestimate the power of the move.feedback

Oct 06 2016

Once we see that rate hike, yields are definitely going to start moving in the right direction, so I agree completely that this is a turn in yields and it's not going away.feedback

Oct 06 2016

So I can't really draw any ominous conclusions out of this whole thing.feedback

Oct 06 2016

It's just been a major, major migration away from what, you could almost say 'dumb money,' which is individual stock ownership into much more systematized ETF money, and that's actually exposed many more households to probably a better way of investing into a more diversified portfolio.feedback

Oct 06 2016

The dollar and oil are moving lock and step, and I think the other reason for why that's happening is because it's sort of a boom trade.feedback

Oct 06 2016

It's a bet on the fact that the global economy is actually not slowing down as much as everybody thought.feedback

Sep 29 2016

But frankly, I think a lot of that trade has already been priced in.feedback

Sep 29 2016

Since Australia pretty much supports all of the commodity product to China, it's going to create a very big backlash onto them.feedback

Sep 26 2016

It's going to become a factor for financial markets.feedback

Sep 26 2016

It depends on the intensity of the win or loss. I actually think they're going to fight to a standstill. ? If he trips up badly, the dollar would rally. That would give the market something more certain. If she trips up badly, I think the dollar could really take a hit.feedback

Sep 26 2016

The peso has been beaten down like a pinata ever since he's started showing some strength. The peso has been the primary expression of emerging markets nervousness about Trump coming to power.feedback

Sep 21 2016 - Japan

The Bank of Japan effectively admitted the error of their ways by saying that their attempt at negative interest rates and standard quantitative easing was not working.feedback

Sep 15 2016 - Pokemon

The whole game has kind of turned into what I call 'Pokemon shopping,' where everybody is looking for discount shopping.feedback

Sep 15 2016

Yes, I think we see further upside to the Apple, but right now I would be cautious about chasing the highs at this point. I would want to wait to see it retrace maybe 2 or 3 percent to the downside before establishing a position.feedback

Sep 15 2016

I think it's just run away for the near term at this point.feedback

Sep 09 2016

Despite the relatively weak economic (data) that we've had this month, the market decided that it appears central bank officials are no longer enamored with (ultra-low) interest rate policy; they really want to normalize rate policy sooner rather than later.feedback

Sep 06 2016

Overall, if you believe that growth continues, it's all systems go for Berkshire for the time being.feedback

Aug 26 2016

She needs to really reaffirm for the market that they are very seriously moving toward a rate hike in December; otherwise I think they stand a very, very strong chance of just losing all credibility, because the rhetoric out of all the other Fed officials has been relatively hawkish.feedback

Aug 21 2016

Russia, still, like John McCain said, is basically a gas station masquerading as a country.feedback

Aug 19 2016

I think $50 (a barrel oil) is going to be a cap here. I think the Saudis are going to come flood the market, I think the frackers are going to come flood the market, so I don't see too much upside.feedback

Aug 15 2016

In this case, if the stocks continue to run, you still make a little bit of money. If it doesn't, if it does come in, at least you've gotten a better average price. You've bought the retrace.feedback

Aug 15 2016

The euro is kind of range bound, and the yen is a huge problem for everything because it continues to strengthen. The Japanese have run out of ideas and options.feedback

Aug 15 2016

It's monetary policymakers that are driving the dollar. I think there's a very slow but discernible shift by fiscal policymakers to finally take control of the economy. This whole idea of austerity is dying a slow death.feedback

Aug 15 2016

The market is just not excited about anything going on. The belief is even if the Fed wanted to do something, the rest of the world is moving the other way. They don't really want to tip the scales in terms of tightening. I don't think they think the global economy is strong enough to take a hit.feedback

Aug 15 2016

I think if this election is bringing anything to the forefront, it's the idea that it's time for fiscal officials to take control of the economy.feedback

Aug 15 2016

Exchange rates continue to wreak havoc with Japanese exporters' efforts, and given the recent appreciation of the yen the problem will not improve in the near future.feedback

Aug 03 2016

The pair has unwound most of the gains of the prior three weeks. Japanese authorities may be forced to once again consider intervention, although prior episodes have proved futile.feedback

Jul 12 2016

Buy them you must because until the interest rate posture changes I really think all of these things can easily outperform.feedback

Jul 12 2016

In order for financials to really create a sustainable rally, we need to have a much more steeper yield curve.feedback

Jul 12 2016

For the last five quarters year on year, earnings have been down. But on the technical side, we're at record highs. History shows that record highs have tended to precede yet loftier levels in the months ahead.feedback

Jun 16 2016

If we can break above $1,300, we could have a new rally in gold, because the market is going to essentially assume that the Fed will stay stationary until December.feedback

Jun 13 2016

The ultimate crash scenario is England pulls out and everybody looks around and says: 'They managed to survive. Why do we need this?' and then they all decide to pull the strings apart and that creates a lot of volatility.feedback

Jun 13 2016

London is the financial capital of the world. Unknown is how much an ability there will be for London to be the conduit of all financial transactions in the world. Brexit really punches above its weight. It's not just Europe, not just the U.K. but the whole global financial system.feedback

Jun 13 2016

Brexit would present the first formal challenge to the current global economic order and could spark a much wider and more dangerous fracture of the European Union.feedback

Jun 08 2016

It is a bounce based on the commodities bounce. The key question is: How do you view commodities right now?feedback

Jun 08 2016

This whole commodities rally could have more legs going forward, and that could keep those stocks up.feedback

May 19 2016

This is the absolute right time for them to do a rate hike in June before the general election starts, before you have turmoil in the markets.feedback

May 19 2016

Would it help financial stocks right now? Absolutely. Is it going to steep the curve for a bit? Absolutely. But I don't think long-term secular move by the Fed, by any means, this is just a one and done move to satisfy the markets.feedback

Apr 07 2016

Usually the yen is up when equities are down. So, we had a decoupling of that and now it's just a momentum trade.feedback

Mar 23 2016

It's been difficult to interpret this. They don't want a huge move all at once. They want to keep the markets guessing. The mixed message is the new transparency.feedback

Mar 23 2016

The dollar move is the unwind of the trade the other way. We had a huge move in commodities that hurt the dollar. Part of this is that adding a little bit of fuel to the fire.feedback

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