Sinan Ülgen

We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Sinan Ülgen is associated, including Turkey and Russia. Most recently, Sinan Ülgen has been quoted saying: “The key concern for foreign investors relates to the erosion of the rule of law. Turkey is going through exceptionally difficult domestic conditions following the botched military coup of last July.” in the article Turkey in crisis: Lira slides after Russian ambassador shot. An other article where Sinan Ülgen has been quoted is Erdogan warns Europe that Turkey could open migrant gates.

Sinan Ülgen quotes

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Since 2011, the high-pitched government rhetoric on Syria has shaped a Turkish constituency that is very sensitive to the tragedies unfolding in Syria. That constituency is becoming very uncertain and almost disillusioned.

The key concern for foreign investors relates to the erosion of the rule of law. Turkey is going through exceptionally difficult domestic conditions following the botched military coup of last July.

It is difficult for the migration agreement to continue under these circumstances.

There is no diplomatic preparation to form an alternative relationship with the EU other than full membership at the moment.

We'll witness a period of honeymoon, post the end of the Obama period, where the relationship had become quite acrimonious. Going forward, however, we are likely to see points of divergence. Trump policies would certainly empower both the regime in Syria, the regime-friendly forces, and also Russia. That is against what Turkey has tried to do since 2011 in terms of regime change and backing the opposition.

Turkey now finds itself facing tougher opposition abroad and is losing its ability to strike alliances, not only with its traditional partners but with regional actors as well.

This alliance is keen on harsh policies on the Kurdish issue, looks to be in favor of reinstating the death penalty, and we can't really say they regard the preservation of freedom of speech and of the media very highly.

That is something Turkey and Russia could agree on.

The political backdrop does suggest there will be areas of convergence between Turkey and Russia. What is not realistic, though, is to view Russia as a strategic alternative to Turkey's Western anchoring. Turkey remains an ally of the West.

For Erdogan, this meeting with Putin is certainly an opportunity to signal to Turkey's partners in the West that it could have other strategic options. There is this perception game that Turkey could strategically gravitate toward Russia if the relationship with the West cannot be maintained. There is also an incentive on the side of Russia to use the crisis between Turkey and the West to undermine NATO's cohesiveness.

It was outside the chain of command which was the biggest handicap for the coup plotters.

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